M4 · Part 2 — Tops & Bottoms (reversals) · Lesson 37/144
7 min 50 XP
A double top (an “M”) forms when an uptrend pushes to a high, pulls back, rallies to the same high again, and fails. Two rejections at one price say the buyers are exhausted. The low between the two peaks defines the neckline. A double bottom (a “W”) is the exact mirror at the end of a downtrend: two failed attempts to break a low, then a turn up.
The signal is the neckline, not the second peak
The most common mistake is shorting the second peak because "it looks like a double top". It is not a double top until the neckline breaks. Plenty of "second peaks" simply push straight through and continue the trend. Wait for the close beyond the neckline — that is the confirmation.
Once the neckline breaks, the playbook is the same as every pattern in this module: enter on the retest of the broken neckline (now flipped), stop just on the other side of it, and target the height of the pattern (peak to neckline) projected from the break. Defined risk, measured reward.